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Adaptability of APSIM Model in Simulating Lucerne-Wheat-Millet Crop Rotation System in Haiyuan Region of Ningxia

APSIM模型对宁夏海原地区草田轮作系统的适应性



全 文 :!24" !1#
 Vol.24  No.1
! " # $
ACTA AGRESTIA SINICA
   2016$  1%
  Jan.  2016
犱狅犻:10.11733/j.issn.10070435.2016.01.020
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SIMÂFÂ&efTLH6Ï"。efgh,‡mu^u^(MWW)、u^‡mu^(WMW)、‡m‡m
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<=>?@
:S181    ABCDE:A     AFG@:10070435(2016)01014610
犃犱犪狆狋犪犫犻犾犻狋狔狅犳犃犘犛犐犕 犕狅犱犲犾犻狀犛犻犿狌犾犪狋犻狀犵犔狌犮犲狉狀犲犠犺犲犪狋犕犻犾犲狋犆狉狅狆
犚狅狋犪狋犻狅狀犛狔狊狋犲犿犻狀犎犪犻狔狌犪狀犚犲犵犻狅狀狅犳犖犻狀犵狓犻犪
AOHaiwei1,XIEYingzhong1,LIYonghong2,MAJianle3
(1.NingxiaUniversity,Yingchuan,Ningxia750021,China;2.AgResearch,GrasslandsResearchCentre,PalmerstonNorth11008,
NewZealand;3.ChinaUniversityofMiningandTechnologyYinchuanColege,Yinchuan,Ningxia750021,China)
犃犫狊狋狉犪犮狋:TheperformanceofAPSIMmodelinsimulatinglucerne(犕犲犱犻犮犪犵狅狊犪狋犻狏犪)wheat(犜狉犻狋犻犮狌犿犪犲狊
狋犻狏狌犿)milet(犗狉狔狕犪狊犪狋犻狏犪)croprotationsystem wasassessedagainstthecropobservationsfrom
HaiyuanregionofNingxiainWesternChina.Themodelparametersforcharacterizingplantgrowthand
developmentoflocalcultivarswerespecifiedbasedonthecropobservationsinliteraturesorestimatedu
singtryanderrormethods.Themodelperformanceinsimulatingsoilmoistureandcropproductionofa
lucernewheatmiletrotationsystemwasassessedagainsttheobservationsfromthe6differentcroprota
tionscenariostovalidatethemodelparameterization.Thesimulationsusedlocalmeteorologicaldataand
soilprofiledescriptionatpilotsite.Theresultsshowedthatthemodeledsoilmoisturematchedwelwith
theobserved(犚2valuerangedbetween0.52and1,Dvaluerangedbetween0.92and0.97)andthemodeled
plantproductionsimulatedwelwiththeobserved(犚2valuerangedbetween0.83and0.98,Dvalueranged
between0.94and0.99).Thismodelparameterizationandvalidationprovidestheconfidenceforusingthe
modeltooptimizeLucernewheatmiletrotationsystemmanagementandtoassessclimatechangeimpacts
oncropproductioninHaiyuanregionofNingxia.
犓犲狔狑狅狉犱狊:APSIMmodel;HaiyuanregionofNingxia;Lucernewheatmiletrotationsystem;Modelparam
eterizationandvalidation;Adaptability
HIJK
:20141205;LMJK:20150328
NOPQ

¬¶·*+®¸´µ
(31160484);·ùY+211“J´µ“Å
5RST

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(1977),È,‹ìRÉ,šË/09,s9^CY,Ì«ÍÎcK9ŸÂFÂ&¾¨/0,Email:ahw@nxu.edu.cn,
<Ôc™ Authorforcorrespondence,Email:xieyz@nxu.edu.cn
  _xìí(犕犲犱犻犮犪犵狅狊犪狋犻狏犪)ÚÞJð÷P“ ÷øTHFf*?-。ä$ç,ÀìՋ:_Ž
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j5.16mg·kg-1、Ø:k263.2mg·kg-1。
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$3%29ò\‘mnìí-_cn;cŽ,=¾Ã
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Table1 Lucernewheatmiletrotationtreatmentdescription
;cÒâ
Rotationtreatment
væ$
Thepasttenyears
;c!ß$
Thefirstyearofrotation
;c!å$
Thesecondyearofrotation
;c!ñ$
Thethirdyearofrotation
WWW ìílucerne öu^ wheat öu^ wheat öu^ wheat
WWM ìílucerne öu^ wheat öu^ wheat ‡m milet
WMW ìílucerne öu^ wheat ‡m milet öu^ wheat
WMM ìílucerne öu^ wheat ‡mmilet ‡m milet
MWW ìílucerne ‡m milet öu^ wheat öu^ wheat
MWM ìílucerne ‡m milet öu^ wheat ‡m milet
MMW ìílucerne ‡m milet ‡m milet öu^ wheat
MMM ìílucerne ‡m milet ‡m milet ‡m milet
  ÙCQ=éÔdÙ9f:̚â,é¿$10
%VÜcKàú_—_é

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=10’f:,¿’20cm,¿ÓùŽ3“•*。5
.BCý_ÙCZ•
(BD)、ã%ÝY£Q`
(DUL)、W6»Q`(SAT)T=’ëÏ,2014$L
.BC_f2Å2m2 YuT:_,Ôd¿ÓHÀ
fÙâ\‘¡ëϝÃ

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1.4.1 µ¶Lƒ APSIMÂFû‘13TÝ®»

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(℃)66òQ`(mm),]3«Â&­TÀA
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scottÒÄ[25]²ß4k。
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C=n10’,¿20cmn1’。n¡Ð]Â&TÏ


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«ÙCžë

‘&ÙCZ•
(BD)、t™]ë(LL15)、
ã%ÝY£Q`
(DUL)、W6»Q`(SAT)、ÙCpH
n^Á

КٻQ`
(Air_dry)、ÙC"QÝ
(Swcon)j|6@cKžë}ϊ}M/6^wÀC


_g¹?žëÐ@APSIMÂF»4。
`2 犃犘犛犐犕´‹´„Œ,þ5š›‘8”l
Table2 ParametersofsoilpropertiesusedforAPSIMmodelattheexperimentsite
ْSoillayer
‚A Depth/cm

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20

20
10
20
Z•BD/g·cm-3 1.28 1.27 1.22 1.27 1.3 1.36 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.35
ÙCКٻQ`
Air_dry/mm·mm-1
0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
t™]ëLL15/mm·mm-1 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
ã%ÝY£Q`DUL/mm·mm-1 0.29 0.30 0.34 0.29 0.29 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.26 0.27
W6»Q`SAT/mm·mm-1 0.39 0.41 0.45 0.40 0.40 0.36 0.37 0.35 0.37 0.38
ÙC"QÝ
/Swcon(0~1) 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
ÙCpH 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16 8.16
ìít™]ëLucerneLL/mm·mm-1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
u^t™]ë
WheatLL/mm·mm-1
0.12 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15
‡mt™]ë
MiletLL/mm·mm-1
0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
1.4.3 ™m·½Lƒ Ì«³´ìí、u^6‡m
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éTžë
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·_d WWM,
WMM,WMW,MMW,MWW,MWM6GÒâT
DÃëÏD˜‡`T-ã;cÂF\‘C]

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C6ëñ˜C2GÒâçÁMÂFÂ&efTLH
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»ŠÔdg
©]ë犚2(Correlationcoeficient)、Ñßð©Ò}œØ
(犚犕犛犈,犖犚犕犛犈)、ß#»ë 犇(indexofagree
ment)、R©^DœØ(meanabsoluteerror)ÁMÂ&
DÁã%T&šA

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uvÂ&^Áã%Tß#

‘X#ä1U
hÂ&T:fX`
。犚犕犛犈Xu,ghÂ&^
wDÁTAØXu

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&efXÏ"

LH
。犕犃犈Ú»ÂFÂ&A5Ã
`ëÏT^DR©ÄA

‘XY

Â&R©A5
Ã`R©XY
[2732]。
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犚2=


犻=1
(犛犻-犛
—)×(犗犻-犗
—)


犻=1
(犛犻-犛
—)槡 2×∑

犻=1
(犗犻-犗

)槡



烎2
(1)
犚犕犛犈 =


犻=1
犗犻犛( )犻 2
槡 狀 (2)
犖犚犕犛犈 =犚犕犛犈

- ×100% (3)
犇=1- ∑ 犛犻-犗( )犻

∑ 犛犻-犗
_
+ 犗犻-犗( )
_

(4)
犕犃犈 =∑ 犛犻-犗犻狀 (5)
â&
,犛犻 nÂ&,犗犻 n^Á,犗

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`3 ‘d0ð’ñò‡’è”l
Table3 Thephenologicalandgrowthparametersof‘GuyuanLucerne’
žëParameters
OÉdED9Ÿ#e5ÖÛ Thermaltimerequiredfromemergencetoendofjuvenile:230℃·d
ED9Ÿ#e5d8x#‘¹#Photoperiodrequiredforfloralinitiation:>10hours
ED9Ÿ#e5d8x#ÖÛ Thermaltimerequiredfromendjuveniletofloralinitiation:610℃·d
8x#díx#‘¹#Photoperiodforflowering(6/0,notrequired)
8x#díx#ÖÛ Thermaltimerequiredfromfloralinitiationtoflower:200℃·d
~•rs‰] Relationsbetweenstemweight(w:g·plant-1)andheight(h:mm):whenw=0~>5;h=5~>5000mm
`4 ‘$‹’š-‡’è”l
Table4 Thephenologicalandgrowthparametersof‘Hongmang’Wheat
žëParameters
öð»ë Vernalizationsensitivity:3.0
‘¹#]ëPhotoperiodsensitivity:2.0
Íï_d’kÖÛStartofgrainfiltomature:580℃·d
÷Ÿ~TšKFT]ë Grains_per_gram_stem:30kernel·g-1·stem-1
NLT]ï_ØAPotential_grain_filing_rate:0.002mg·grain-1·day-1
941
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`5 ‘!~14@’%‡’è”l
Table5 Thephenologicalandgrowthparametersof‘Datong14’Milet
žëParameters
ÝYNL_—»ë maximumharvestindexpotential:0.55
¿hNL‡]ëpotentialgrainsperhead:3300grains·head-1
‡]NL9ŸÝpotentialgraingrowthrate:1.5mg·grain-1·d-1
OÉdÈÉ#e5ÖÛ TTfromemergencetoendofjuvenilephase:95.4℃·d
OÉd8x#áëestimateddaysfromemergencetofloralinitiation:17d
‘¹#/0photoperiodsensitivity:112.4℃·d
¼xd’kÖÛ TTfromfloweringtomaturity:357℃·d
>XŸOd¼xÖÛ TTfromflagleaftoflowering:77.8℃·d
¼xd¼½ï_ÖÛ TTfromfloweringtostartgrainfil:80℃·d
’kd_—ÖÛ TTfrommaturitytoharvestripe:1℃·d
2.2 ´‹2&—
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;cÒâ C]^²»F Validation
Rotationtreatment 犚2 犚犕犛犈 犖犚犕犛犈/% 犇 犕犃犈
MWW 0.97 319.2 42.6 0.94 307.3
WMW 0.98 197.0 29.2 0.99 156.1
MMW 0.98 278.3 24.7 0.98 226.8
MWM 0.96 307.2 29.8 0.97 288.3
WMM 0.84 202.5 22.1 0.99 163.1
WWM 0.83 161.7 21.1 0.99 130.5
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;cÒâ C]^²»F Validation
Rotationtreatment 犚2 犚犕犛犈 犖犚犕犛犈/% 犇 犕犃犈
MWW 0.89 3.1 27.4 0.97 3
WMW 0.82 3.4 31.6 0.95 2.7
MMW 0.52 4.5 42.3 0.94 4.3
MWM 0.94 3.9 36.3 0.95 3.7
WMM 1 3.5 34.4 0.95 3.3
WWM 0.99 4.1 38.3 0.94 4
251
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