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Response of forest vegetation/land use change to hydrological Dynamics in Hongmenchuan Watershed of Beijing Advances in Hydrological Sciences under Global Change: characteristics and perspectives Exploration of a new modeling method for forest water conservation based on cellular automata：concept and theoretical framework Optimization of vegetation covers in Qilian Mountains Based on hydrological responses by SWAT model: a case study of Zamu River Basin in Upper The hydrological response to human activities in Guishui River Basin, Beijing