利用总-净核算和净-净核算2种方式估算中国森林管理活动的碳汇量及其潜力。结果表明: 基年为1990年时,总-净核算方式下2010,2020,2030,2040和2050年中国森林管理碳汇量分别为58.7,57.8,58.4,62.7和67.2 MtC·a-1,净-净核算方式下分别为14.9,17.5,20.1,26.0和31.7 MtC·a-1; 基年为2000年时,总-净核算方式下2010,2020,2030,2040和2050年中国森林管理碳汇量分别为73.5,72.1,72.8,78.1和83.6 MtC·a-1,净-净核算方式下分别为2.0,5.7,9.3,16.8和24.2 MtC·a-1; 同一基年2种核算方式估算的森林管理碳汇量变化趋势相同,且总-净核算的碳汇量大于净-净核算的碳汇量。
This paper estimated the carbon sink and potential of forest management activities in China using the gross-net and net-net estimation method. The results showed that if the base year is set to 1990, the carbon sink of forest management in 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050 is 58.7, 57.8, 58.4, 62.7 and 67.2 MtC·a-1, respectively, under the gross-net, and is 14.9, 17.5, 20.1, 26.0 and 31.7 MtC·a-1, respectively, under the net-net. If the base year is 2000, the carbon sink of forest management in 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050 is 73.5, 72.1, 72.8, 78.1 and 83.6 MtC·a-1, respectively, under the gross-net, and is 2.0, 5.7, 9.3, 16.8 and 24.2 MtC·a-1, respectively, under the net-net. The carbon sink change trend of forest management is the same under the gross-net and net-net with the same base year, and the carbon sink amount is bigger under the gross-net than that under the net-net.
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