Abstract:Dynamic data analysis and harmonic wave theory are applied to simulate and ana-lyze perildic changes in soil moisture under different modes of artificial disturbnce in Chinese fir plantation.Results showed that soil moisture series on the forest land is sup-perposed by a stochastic component,which is a reflection of the effect of stochastic flue-tuations of climate on soil water content,and a perildic deterministic process,which is a reflection of periodic changes in climate or combinations of the water requirements of trees and periodic variations of climate.Simulation of the soil moisture series of clearcut-ting,control and thinning watersheds demonstrates that the additive model is of high precision for modelling long term change process of soil water.Periodic vibration de- creases in the order of:thinning>control>clearcutting,and the vibration of the three watersheds abates significantly with the increasing of soil depth.